Thailand faces early election as coalition cracks widen

BANGKOK (AFP) – Thailand’s embattled prime minister will hold talks with party leaders in his ruling coalition on Thursday (March 17) as he seeks to control growing divisions that could lead to early elections later this year.

Mr Prayut Chan-o-cha heads a sprawling coalition facing criticism over his mismanagement of Covid-19, a pandemic economy still in the doldrums and simmering tensions over huge 2021 pro-democracy protests that have dominated the past 12 months.

The turbulent political atmosphere in South-east Asia’s second-largest economy has seen a weakened opposition agitate for the Prime Minister to step down, calling for a no-confidence debate when Parliament resumes in May.

And on Monday, Mr Prayut’s one-time mentor, Deputy Prime Minister Prawit Wongsuwan, said early elections could be held after Thailand hosts the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (Apec) summit in November.

While the Deputy Prime Minister has no power over when polls are held, it is the first government indication on the date of national elections – months ahead of Mr Prayut’s term ending in March 2023.

Speaking after his deputy’s remarks, Mr Prayut refused to comment on a possible election date.

If polls are held after the Apec summit – or sooner – analysts say they could return an unfavourable result for Mr Prayut.

“A lot of Thais want to see General Prayut out of office,” said Professor Thitinan Pongsudhirak of Bangkok’s Chulalongkorn University.

“The economy is not doing well. The population still remembers the early pandemic incompetence when there were no vaccines in the country.”

Thailand’s economy has been hammered by the pandemic, growing by just 1.6 per cent last year after a 6.2 per cent contraction in 2020 – its worst performance since the 1997 Asian financial crisis.

Mr Paul Chambers, of the Centre of Asean Community Studies at Naresuan University in Thailand, believes the longer the Premier can stave off elections, the better it will be for him.

“Prayut is so unpopular today that he could only be re-elected with the Senate’s help,” he said, a reference to Bangkok’s second chamber, which is stacked with pro-government figures.

“Thus, waiting as long as possible for the Senate to help him win re-election best helps Prayut sustain his power.”

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